- ADA and XRP undergo a massive shorting amid the ongoing market downturn, however, analysts believe that this could be a catalyst for a bullish reversal.
- Another analyst discloses that crypto assets have about 8-10 months to return to bullish ways after their previous peak, implying that XRP’s rally is long overdue.
Amid the ongoing broad market downturn, Cardano (ADA) and Ripple’s XRP follow the bearish direction of Bitcoin (BTC) which has broken a crucial support level to trade below $64k. According to our data, ADA and XRP have both declined by 2.4% and 1.4% respectively in the last 24 hours with the former trading at $0.38 and the latter trading at $0.49.
Amid the ongoing market situation, ADA and XRP continue to be among the most notable altcoins experiencing heavy shorting activity as earlier disclosed by Crypto Key News. However, Santiment explains that the liquidation of short positions could be a catalyst for substantial price increases.
Cardano and XRP are a couple of the most notable altcoins that are seeing heavy traders shorting following relief bounces. This is a good sign for patient bulls, as liquidated shorts can effectively act as ‘rocket fuel’ for continued price rises.
Our review of a Cardano price chart also shows that the Binance Funding Rate stands at -0.013743, indicating the dominance of short positions. Derivatives data from Coinglass further confirms this position with a report that the long/short ratio for ADA is 0.9755. Fascinatingly, the Binance long/short ratio for accounts showed a reading of 2.51 despite the significant surge in shorts.
XRP and ADA Market Situation Explained
According to analysts, the current divergence explains that while traders open more short positions than long ones, those betting on a price upsurge appear to be more than those betting on a bearish extension.
In the case of XRP, a similar pattern was observed with the Binance Funding Rate standing at -0.002935. This indicates the predominance of short. Our review of Coinglass data confirms this position with a long/short ratio for XRP of 0.0.9623. However, Binance’s long/short ratio for accounts shows a reading of 2.98. This implies that more traders on the platform are optimistic about an upsurge.
In explaining how the increasing shorting could translate into a bullish run, Santiment stated that this mostly creates situations where upward movements usually trigger short covering. In return, there could be a sudden and substantial price increase as shorts buy back the asset to cover their positions. Upon our review, CNF observed that this bullish outlook is largely supported by a previous analysis of ADA’s and XRP’s 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios.
According to Santiment, the 30-day MVRV of XRP is at -3.5, and this is interpreted as mildly bullish. Interestingly, the 30-day MVRV of ADA appears even lower at -12.6, also marked as bullish. These coincidentally fall in line with a bullish analysis by crypto analyst Alan Santana, which explains that all assets have 8-10 months to explode after their previous peak.
In explaining this position, the analyst stated that the last peak of XRP was July 2023 when it responded strongly to Judge Analisa Torres’ ruling. Presently, XRP has spent about 11 months without a bullish wave. However, Santana is optimistic about the future as he suggests that a 100% move is imminent for XRP.